Inside the Stats (w/ Kishan Vahalia): Who will win Super Bowl 56?
A statistical prediction, about who will win Super Bowl LVI.
January 22, 2022
There have been multiple debates on which NFL team will win the 21-22 Super Bowl. Since we are at the core of the playoffs, now is the best time to figure out which teams have the best odds of winning the sweepstake.
Here are some statistical areas I used to determine my prediction for the Super Bowl LVI Winner :
Total Yards:
-Offense – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6,901)
-Defense – Buffalo Bills (4,637)
Total Turnovers (fumbles/interceptions):
-Takeaways – Buffalo Bills (30)
-Giveaways – Kansas City Chiefs / Tennessee Titans (25)
Total Touchdowns:
-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (63)
MVP Leaders:
-Leader: Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
-Runner-Up: Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
My Conclusion:
-Tampa Bay has the highest probability of winning the Super Bowl, due to their offensive domination. They are leading in total offensive yards and total touchdowns than any playoff team this year. Since Tom Brady is an MVP candidate, this shows that he’s performed exceptionally throughout the regular season, and we’ve seen playoff Brady… and know that he is unstoppable.
-The Bills are the runner-up team that could win the Super Bowl. They are leading in total defensive yards, and have the most takeaways (fumbles/interceptions) than any team in the playoffs this year. Though the Bills have a good chance of winning, the Buccaneers seem like a stronger team, due to the offensive capabilities.
“The Buccaneers are going to win this year, because they got Tom Brady, and he’s the G.O.A.T.,” said Ethan Perry ‘25.
Upcoming Games (as of 1/21/22):
Cincinnati Bengals (11-7) @ Tennessee Titans (12-5) – Jan. 22 at 2:30 p.m. (stream game on CBS); The Bengals will win this matchup, due to Ja’Marr Chase’s incredible rookie season.
San Francisco 49ers (11-7) @ Green Bay Packers (13-4) – Jan. 22 at 6:15 p.m. (stream game on FOX); The Packers are winning this game because of Aaron Rodgers’s consistency during playoff games.
Los Angeles Rams (13-5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-4) – Jan. 23 at 1:00 p.m. (stream game on NBC); The Buccaneers will win this matchup because of Tampa’s “well-rounded” offensive lineup.
Buffalo Bills (12-6) @ Kansas City Chiefs (13-5) – Jan. 23 at 4:30 p.m. (stream game on CBS); The Bills are winning this game, because of Buffalo’s defense. This game will be exciting to watch, as the young quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs), and Josh Allen (Bills) will duel.
Sources: nfl.com, ESPN, Bleacher Report